Market Context

📉 Steel Weak, Iron Ore Strong:

  • U.S. tariff impact priced in, but bullish steel sentiment remains subdued.
  • Iron ore outperforms steel, creating a “strong ore, weak steel” divergence.

Key Drivers

🌪 Iron Ore Supply Shock:

  • Australian cyclone disrupts exports, leading to rapid port inventory declines.
  • Steel demand still uncertain as post-holiday construction activity remains unverified.
    📊 Thursday’s Mysteel data likely to be a key market driver.

Market Outlook & Strategy

🔄 Near-Term Range: 3270-3350

  • Limited downside risks due to blast furnace losses and uncertain steel demand recovery.
  • Iron ore strength provides temporary support to steel prices.

📌 Trading Strategy:
Intraday trades preferred – volatility offers short-term opportunities.
Set conditional orders around key levels.
📊 Short bias near 3350, long bias near 3270.